Mayar Sherif @ Dalma Galfi Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Mayar Sherif WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Mayar Sherif at 45% against FanDuel's implied 30% — an edge of +14.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -2.2pp · closed at 2.12 (47.2%)
Model gives 44.9% vs FanDuel's implied 30.3%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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