Elisabetta Cocciaretto @ Alina Korneeva Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Elisabetta Cocciaretto LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Elisabetta Cocciaretto at 63% against FanDuel's implied 59% — an edge of +3.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -5.0pp · closed at 1.48 (67.6%)
Solid 3.4% edge at FanDuel (1.69). Best is 1.92 at DraftKings.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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