Elisabetta Cocciaretto @ Alina Korneeva Recap

Roland-Garros (W) · May 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Elisabetta Cocciaretto LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Elisabetta Cocciaretto at 63% against FanDuel's implied 59% — an edge of +3.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -5.0pp · closed at 1.48 (67.6%)

Small Play

Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Model 63%

Market 59%

Edge +3.4 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Moneyline normalization (both sides to 100%)

62.6% —

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.