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Oleksandra Oliynykova @ Elena Pridankina Recap

Roland-Garros (W) · May 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Elena Pridankina LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Elena Pridankina at 31% against FanDuel's implied 26% — an edge of +4.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -3.6pp  ·  closed at 2.87 (34.8%)

Small Play Dog play
Elena Pridankina
+280 on FanDuel
Model 31%
Market 26%
Edge +4.9 pts

Solid 4.9% edge at FanDuel (3.80). Best is 4.46 at DraftKings.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Moneyline normalization (both sides to 100%)
31.2%

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