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Lois Boisson @ Anna Kalinskaya Recap

Roland-Garros (W) · May 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Lois Boisson LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Lois Boisson at 37% against FanDuel's implied 34% — an edge of +2.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -1.4pp  ·  closed at 2.59 (38.6%)

Small Play Dog play
Lois Boisson
+190 on FanDuel
Model 37%
Market 34%
Edge +2.7 pts

Solid 2.7% edge at FanDuel (2.90). Best is 3.10 at DraftKings.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
37.2%

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