Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers Recap
MLB · September 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Toronto Blue Jays WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 42% against FanDuel's implied 41% — an edge of +6.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.6pp · closed at 2.56 (39.1%)
Solid 6.3% edge at FanDuel (2.42).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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