San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
MLB · September 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — San Francisco Giants LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 30% against FanDuel's implied 31% — an edge of +6.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.0pp · closed at 3.35 (29.8%)
Solid 6.6% edge at FanDuel (3.20). Elo agrees (-127 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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