Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles Recap
MLB · September 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Baltimore Orioles LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Baltimore Orioles at 49% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +4.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.8pp · closed at 2.04 (49.0%)
Solid 4.3% edge at FanDuel (1.98).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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