Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers Recap
NFL · October 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Tampa Bay Buccaneers WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 42% against FanDuel's implied 44% — an edge of +4.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.0pp · closed at 2.47 (40.5%)
FADE GUARD: market moved 2.2pp against this side since publish
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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