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Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Recap

NFL · October 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Green Bay Packers WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Green Bay Packers at 50% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +8.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +10.8pp  ·  closed at 2.09 (47.9%)

Top Pick
Green Bay Packers
-102 on FanDuel
Model 50%
Market 51%
Edge +8.1 pts

Model gives 58.6% vs FanDuel's implied 50.5%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
49.5% —

Model performance on Green Bay Packers picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
24
W - L
15 - 6
Win rate
71%
Avg CLV
+3.9pt
ROI
+4.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.