Lakeshore Edge Sign in

New York Giants @ Houston Texans Recap

NFL · October 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — New York Giants WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Giants at 52% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +12.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +12.6pp  ·  closed at 1.93 (51.8%)

Pass
New York Giants
-106 on FanDuel
Model 52%
Market 52%
Edge +12.9 pts

FADE GUARD: market moved 1.5pp against this side since publish

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
51.6% —

Model performance on New York Giants picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
17
W - L
8 - 7
Win rate
53%
Avg CLV
+6.2pt
ROI
-35.1%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.