San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons Recap
NFL · October 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Atlanta Falcons WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Atlanta Falcons at 35% against FanDuel's implied 34% — an edge of +19.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +9.5pp · closed at 2.32 (43.1%)
Model gives 52.6% vs FanDuel's implied 33.6%. Elo gap of -158 backs it.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Atlanta Falcons picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.