Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Recap
NFL · October 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Indianapolis Colts LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Indianapolis Colts at 31% against FanDuel's implied 29% — an edge of +16.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +16.3pp · closed at 3.38 (29.6%)
Model gives 45.9% vs FanDuel's implied 29.4%. Elo gap of -132 backs it.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Indianapolis Colts picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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