Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals Recap
NFL · September 13, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Tampa Bay Buccaneers LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 52% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +8.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +7.6pp · closed at 1.89 (52.9%)
Model gives 60.5% vs FanDuel's implied 51.8%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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