Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers Recap
NFL · September 13, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Carolina Panthers LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Carolina Panthers at 41% against FanDuel's implied 41% — an edge of +4.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.1pp · closed at 2.39 (41.8%)
Solid 4.6% edge at FanDuel (2.42). Elo agrees (-47 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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