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Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders Recap

NFL · September 13, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Miami Dolphins LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Miami Dolphins at 52% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +10.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +11.7pp  ·  closed at 1.97 (50.8%)

Top Pick
Miami Dolphins
-108 on FanDuel
Model 52%
Market 52%
Edge +10.7 pts

Model gives 62.5% vs FanDuel's implied 51.8%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
51.5% —

Model performance on Miami Dolphins picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
16
W - L
10 - 5
Win rate
67%
Avg CLV
+10.7pt
ROI
-6.1%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.