Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Recap
NFL · September 13, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Cleveland Browns LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cleveland Browns at 22% against FanDuel's implied 22% — an edge of +6.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.9pp · closed at 4.39 (22.8%)
Solid 6.5% edge at FanDuel (4.50). Elo agrees (-126 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Cleveland Browns picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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