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Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants Recap

MLB · September 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — San Francisco Giants LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 39% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +5.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +6.0pp  ·  closed at 2.47 (40.5%)

Small Play Dog play
San Francisco Giants
+150 on FanDuel
Model 39%
Market 40%
Edge +5.5 pts

Solid 5.5% edge at FanDuel (2.50).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
39.2% —

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