Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Recap
MLB · September 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Seattle Mariners LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Seattle Mariners at 35% against FanDuel's implied 35% — an edge of +10.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +10.7pp · closed at 2.94 (34.0%)
Model gives 44.7% vs FanDuel's implied 34.7%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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