Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Recap
MLB · September 13, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Philadelphia Phillies WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Philadelphia Phillies at 46% against FanDuel's implied 48% — an edge of +2.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +2.9pp · closed at 2.13 (46.9%)
Solid 2.2% edge at FanDuel (2.10).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.