Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap
MLB · September 13, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Baltimore Orioles LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Baltimore Orioles at 43% against FanDuel's implied 44% — an edge of +4.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.3pp · closed at 2.32 (43.1%)
Solid 4.1% edge at FanDuel (2.26).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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