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Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Recap

MLB · September 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Milwaukee Brewers WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Milwaukee Brewers at 37% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +4.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.2pp  ·  closed at 2.66 (37.6%)

Small Play Dog play
Milwaukee Brewers
+168 on FanDuel
Model 37%
Market 37%
Edge +4.4 pts

Solid 4.4% edge at FanDuel (2.68).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
36.9% —

Model performance on Milwaukee Brewers picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
18
W - L
12 - 5
Win rate
71%
Avg CLV
+4.4pt
ROI
+55.7%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.