Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
MLB · September 08, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Cincinnati Reds LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cincinnati Reds at 29% against FanDuel's implied 27% — an edge of +19.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +19.0pp · closed at 3.58 (27.9%)
Model gives 46.9% vs FanDuel's implied 27.0%. Elo gap of -101 backs it.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Cincinnati Reds picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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