Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Recap
MLB · September 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Los Angeles Angels WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Angels at 35% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +5.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +6.8pp · closed at 2.93 (34.1%)
Solid 5.2% edge at FanDuel (2.80). Elo agrees (-92 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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