Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Recap
MLB · September 08, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Chicago Cubs WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 54% against FanDuel's implied 55% — an edge of +3.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +2.4pp · closed at 1.81 (55.2%)
Chicago Cubs
-120 on FanDuel
Model
54%
Market
55%
Edge
+3.0 pts
Solid 3.0% edge at FanDuel (1.83).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
54.2%
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