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Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

MLB · September 07, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Los Angeles Dodgers WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Dodgers at 37% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +4.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -2.1pp  ·  closed at 2.25 (44.4%)

Small Play Dog play
Los Angeles Dodgers
+162 on FanDuel
Model 37%
Market 38%
Edge +4.2 pts

Solid 4.2% edge at FanDuel (2.62).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
36.9%

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