Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds Recap
MLB · June 03, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Kansas City Royals WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 45% against FanDuel's implied 43% — an edge of +2.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.3pp · closed at 2.39 (41.8%)
Solid 2.4% edge at FanDuel (2.34). Elo agrees (-48 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Kansas City Royals picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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