Athletics @ Chicago Cubs Recap
MLB · June 02, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Chicago Cubs LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 43% against FanDuel's implied 39% — an edge of +3.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +6.4pp · closed at 2.73 (36.6%)
Chicago Cubs
Model
43%
Market
39%
Edge
+3.7 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
43.0%
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