New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals Recap
MLB · May 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Kansas City Royals LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 65% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +8.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +16.1pp · closed at 2.04 (49.0%)
Kansas City Royals
Model
65%
Market
56%
Edge
+8.9 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
65.1%
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