Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Recap
NFL · October 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Tennessee Titans WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tennessee Titans at 31% against FanDuel's implied 30% — an edge of +20.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +21.6pp · closed at 3.48 (28.7%)
Model gives 50.3% vs FanDuel's implied 30.3%. Elo gap of -116 backs it.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Tennessee Titans picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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