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Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns Recap

NFL · October 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Cleveland Browns WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cleveland Browns at 52% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +5.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +10.3pp  ·  closed at 2.04 (49.0%)

Pass
Cleveland Browns
-115 on FanDuel
Model 52%
Market 53%
Edge +5.8 pts

FADE GUARD: market moved 2.2pp against this side since publish

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
52.1% —

Model performance on Cleveland Browns picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
24
W - L
21 - 3
Win rate
88%
Avg CLV
+6.9pt
ROI
+69.9%

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