Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Recap
NFL · October 11, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Minnesota Vikings WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Vikings at 52% against FanDuel's implied 54% — an edge of +2.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.3pp · closed at 1.92 (52.1%)
FADE GUARD: market moved 1.7pp against this side since publish
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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