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Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Recap

NFL · October 11, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Cleveland Browns LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cleveland Browns at 50% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +8.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +10.4pp  ·  closed at 2.04 (49.0%)

Top Pick
Cleveland Browns
-105 on FanDuel
Model 50%
Market 51%
Edge +8.1 pts

Model gives 59.4% vs FanDuel's implied 51.3%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
49.9% —

Model performance on Cleveland Browns picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
24
W - L
21 - 3
Win rate
88%
Avg CLV
+6.9pt
ROI
+69.9%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.