Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks Recap
NFL · October 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Los Angeles Chargers LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Chargers at 28% against FanDuel's implied 26% — an edge of +18.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +16.6pp · closed at 3.70 (27.0%)
Model gives 43.6% vs FanDuel's implied 25.6%. Elo gap of -121 backs it.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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