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Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Recap

NFL · October 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Philadelphia Eagles LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Philadelphia Eagles at 52% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +8.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.3pp  ·  closed at 1.93 (51.8%)

Top Pick
Philadelphia Eagles
-105 on FanDuel
Model 52%
Market 51%
Edge +8.8 pts

Model gives 60.1% vs FanDuel's implied 51.3%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
51.7% —

Model performance on Philadelphia Eagles picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
14
W - L
1 - 13
Win rate
7%
Avg CLV
+9.2pt
ROI
-72.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.