Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys Recap
NFL · September 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Dallas Cowboys LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Dallas Cowboys at 39% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +7.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.1pp · closed at 2.55 (39.2%)
Solid 7.6% edge at FanDuel (2.52).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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