Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Recap
NFL · September 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Arizona Cardinals LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Cardinals at 26% against FanDuel's implied 23% — an edge of +19.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +17.4pp · closed at 4.06 (24.6%)
Model gives 42.1% vs FanDuel's implied 22.7%. Elo gap of -156 backs it.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Arizona Cardinals picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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