Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Recap
NFL · September 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Pittsburgh Steelers LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Pittsburgh Steelers at 53% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +9.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +7.2pp · closed at 1.81 (55.2%)
FADE GUARD: market moved 2.2pp against this side since publish
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Pittsburgh Steelers picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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