New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens Recap
NFL · September 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — New Orleans Saints WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New Orleans Saints at 23% against FanDuel's implied 22% — an edge of +6.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.2pp · closed at 4.19 (23.9%)
Solid 6.9% edge at FanDuel (4.50). Elo agrees (-84 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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