Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears Recap
NFL · September 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Minnesota Vikings WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Vikings at 35% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +5.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.5pp · closed at 2.79 (35.8%)
Solid 5.6% edge at FanDuel (2.80).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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