Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos Recap
NFL · September 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Jacksonville Jaguars LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Jacksonville Jaguars at 50% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +10.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +10.7pp · closed at 2.00 (50.0%)
Model gives 60.7% vs FanDuel's implied 50.5%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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