Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs Recap
NBA · May 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Oklahoma City Thunder LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Oklahoma City Thunder at 50% against FanDuel's implied 43% — an edge of +7.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.4pp · closed at 2.41 (41.5%)
Solid 7.2% edge at FanDuel (2.34).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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