Recent losses
The model's most-confident recent losses, sorted by predicted probability. Each card shows the full feature waterfall so you can scan for systematic bias. Picks demoted to MARGINAL by the real-money consensus rule are flagged in amber. Why expose this? Same reason we expose the calibration plot: open-book bettors are the only kind worth being.
Loading recent losses…
Source:
GET /api/recent_losses. Filters by game commence
date (not pick-time). Waterfall is empty for older entries that
pre-date stored model_debug — newer picks carry the full
breakdown. CLV is null for picks closed before 2026-05-19 (the
snapshot-retention bug, see Model page for
provenance notes).