San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder Recap

NBA · May 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — San Antonio Spurs LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Antonio Spurs at 62% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +10.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +9.2pp · closed at 1.91 (52.4%)

Top Pick

San Antonio Spurs

Model 62%

Market 52%

Edge +10.1 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

61.6% —

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