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Forecasts / MMA / June 06, 2026

Yuneisy Duben @ Jeisla Chaves Recap

MMA · June 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

VOID

Yuneisy Duben — VOID.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Yuneisy Duben at 34% against FanDuel's implied 31% — an edge of +3.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play
Yuneisy Duben
+220 on FanDuel
Model 34%
Market 31%
Edge +3.0 pts

Solid 3.0% edge at FanDuel (3.20).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Polymarket price
30.5% —
Favorite-longshot recal
30.8% +0.3pp
Line-movement nudge
32.0% +1.2pp
Moneyline normalization (both sides to 100%)
34.2% +2.2pp

Other MMA matches on June 06, 2026

Victor Henry @ Bryce Mitchell
Victor Henry · model 50% · edge +15.9pt
VOID
Bryce Mitchell @ Victor Henry
Victor Henry · model 50% · edge +15.8pt
VOID
Tom Nolan @ Fares Ziam
Tom Nolan · model 32% · edge +2.3pt
VOID
Edmen Shahbazyan @ Brendan Allen
Edmen Shahbazyan · model 37% · edge +2.5pt
VOID
Joanderson Brito @ Jordan Leavitt
Jordan Leavitt · model 41% · edge +2.8pt
VOID
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