Luis Dias de Assis @ Yi Sak Lee Prediction
MMA · May 30, 2026 · Lakeshore Edge calibrated model + Polymarket cross-check.
At FanDuel (2.26) the bet is negative-EV. FanDuel has the best price across the books we track — it's still negative-EV.
What other markets think
Implied probability of Yi Sak Lee across the books and prediction markets we track, alongside the Lakeshore Edge model's own number.
| Source | Implied % | Note |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 44.2% | Execution book (this is the price you'd take). |
| Lakeshore Edge model | 41.8% | Edge vs FanDuel: -2.4pt. |
Frequently asked
What's the model's edge on Luis Dias de Assis @ Yi Sak Lee?
The Lakeshore Edge model rates Yi Sak Lee at 42% to win or cover, versus FanDuel's implied 42% — a marginal edge of -2.4pt. That gap is what the model flags as a potential bet; the model has averaged +4.2pt CLV across 145 graded singles, meaning prices it picks tend to drift in the bettor's favor before close.
How likely is Yi Sak Lee to win according to the model?
42% by the Lakeshore Edge model. The model blends Elo, recent form, sport-specific factors (pitching, injuries, weather), and live line movement to land on that number.
What's closing-line value (CLV) and why does it matter?
Closing-line value is how much your entry price beats the market's closing price on the same bet. If you pick a side at FanDuel -130 and the line closes at -150, the line moved 4pp toward your side after you locked in — that's positive CLV. CLV is the leading indicator of long-run profit because it's the metric that survives variance: a sustained positive CLV means you're consistently getting a better price than the consensus market settles on. Lakeshore Edge averages +4.2pt CLV on 145 graded singles, beating the close on 88% of them.
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.