Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Recap
MLB · September 11, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Philadelphia Phillies WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Philadelphia Phillies at 57% against FanDuel's implied 59% — an edge of +3.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.0pp · closed at 1.74 (57.5%)
Solid 3.6% edge at FanDuel (1.70).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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