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Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds Recap

MLB · July 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

VOID

Cleveland Guardians — VOID.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cleveland Guardians at 56% against FanDuel's implied 58% — an edge of +2.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Cleveland Guardians
-137 on FanDuel
Model 56%
Market 58%
Edge +2.3 pts

Solid 2.3% edge at FanDuel (1.73).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
56.2%

Model performance on Cleveland Guardians picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
32
W - L
7 - 23
Win rate
23%
Avg CLV
+3.8pt
ROI
-60.6%

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