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Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers Recap

MLB · May 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Texas Rangers WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Texas Rangers at 41% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +2.4pp  ·  closed at 2.62 (38.2%)

Small Play Dog play
Texas Rangers
Model 41%
Market 38%
Edge +2.1 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
40.6%

Model performance on Texas Rangers picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
12
W - L
5 - 7
Win rate
42%
Avg CLV
+4.3pt
ROI
-25.5%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.