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Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants Recap

MLB · May 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — San Francisco Giants WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 66% against FanDuel's implied 63% — an edge of +3.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.6pp  ·  closed at 1.60 (62.5%)

Small Play
San Francisco Giants
-169 on FanDuel
Model 66%
Market 63%
Edge +3.2 pts

Solid 3.2% edge at FanDuel (1.59).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
66.1%

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