Renata Zarazua @ Diana Shnaider Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Diana Shnaider WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Diana Shnaider at 85% against FanDuel's implied 81% — an edge of +4.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -1.6pp · closed at 1.16 (86.2%)
Solid 4.0% edge at FanDuel (1.24).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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